BUSINESS BLOGS
BUSINESS BLOGS
category: business
10 Nov 2007

Alley Insider is reporting that News Corp. is toying with the idea of launching an ad network. This isn’t news, this is formalization of something that has been in the works for some time.

After all, by virtue of owning MySpace, News Corp.’s Fox Interactive Media owns the largest site by pageviews, and by virtue of that, largest site by impressions.

MySpace’s inventory is certainly long tail and difficult to monetize, that is why the acquisition of Strategic Data Solutions fit within the FIM empire.

If you consider that IGN - my former employer briefly after it bought my old company - generates a lot, and I mean a lot of impressions on its message boards, then you start to realize that in addition to some of the best marquee, prime real estate in online media, FIM also has a lot of not so valuable real estate. That’s not a knock, because all large properties have vast inventories of low yield inventory… this is in fact why online ad networks such as Blue Lithiu, Right Media, Valueclick et al. have seen valuations skyrocket.

I recall reading some time ago that Rupert Murdoch was never the first to get into a market, but once he did, he really accelerated his push. This “news” regarding ad networks is a perfect manifestation of that: Murdoch spent $2B to become one of the most powerful online media companies, secured a $900M ad deal with Google. He inherited a lot of inventory and instead of farming this inventory out to ad networks such as Right Media, Blue Lithium and company, he can get 100% of those rates by keeping it inhouse.

Moreover, Murdoch totally understands that data = money. Facebook might be a phone book, but phone books are valuable. So Murdoch is planning ahead by not sharing too much data on sites like MySpace with third parties.

Lastly, there’s one more reason why Murdoch and FOX should totally go for this, the traditional challenges facing ad networks are two-fold:

- getting publishers to accept their business

- getting advertisers to run ads.

FOX won’t have any problems because it already works with marquee advertisers AND it can woo publishers sitting on the fence and not being sold on the virtues of ad networks.

Oh, one last thing, expect a couple of small to mid-sized deals here, maybe even Valueclick, or perhaps Tribal Fusion. That’s for display/banners, for videos, we surely expect some activity too, not for his properties, but to extend his reach on the web away from his sites. One potential player?

News Corp. owns 5% of Roo, with the option to buy 5% more. I think they just might make a run at Roo (disclaimer: Roo is one of the many distribution partners in WatchMojo.com original video syndication network).

Of course, this is not without risk.  Advertisers call ad networks when they want reach on obscure sites etc., when they call News Corp., they want premium inventory, so if the ad salespeople start to pimp low quality sites away from News Corp. into the annals of the Web, then they might be turned off and be less prone to pick up the phone and call.  But, that is a risk worth taking when you consider than increasingly, online, the action tends to be away from your site.

category: business
09 Nov 2007
related tags: Rumors | Internet & Web | M&A | Search Wars | Yahoo! | Microsoft |

Today at some shindig in Monaco (we can’t afford cross-Atlantic flights, so we didn’t go), Barry Diller said, via Paid Content,

Now with their new management, now Yahoo! will absolutely try, Microsoft is a greater failure, with a huge amount of capital and no real traction.

Wow.  Maybe he’s being candid, but maybe he’s trying to get MSFT more interested in acquiring IAC.  We’re not alone in thinking that MSFT might make a move for IAC to get Ask.com, so does Fool.com, but that same Motley Fool article also makes a case for MSFT to acquire YHOO.

I still think that after spending $6B to get aQuantive, MSFT is circling around Yahoo! and will make a move for the world’s largest portal before you can say “what happened to the butler”?  Don’t get me wrong, I think Barry Diller has assembled a really nice company under IAC, but if MSFT wants to get serious about online advertising and search, the path is via Yahoo!, not IAC.

A few things to consider:

- adCenter + Panama would be a powerful combination.
- YHOO’s network outside of Yahoo.com is very robust now, what with Blue Lithium, Right Media.
- MSN.com + Yahoo.com would be a very strong portal presence.
- The combined market share in search would be nearly 40%, a respectable second to Google’s 55% share.
- The fact that MSFT is now in bed with Facebook increases its appeal to YHOO.

YHOO has shed almost 25% of its value since flirting with its $34 price and 52-week high just a couple of weeks ago, tumbling from $40B market cap to $33B.  Meanwhile, MSFT is worth some $320B.

I’m not sure if this will happen, of course, but MSFT is really trying to make a push in online ads, YHOO is looking to catch up Google, it seems like a good fit.

Disclaimer: I own YHOO shares.