BUSINESS BLOGS
BUSINESS BLOGS
category: business
25 Dec 2007

Venture capitalists get a bad rep, some of it deservedly so, some of it not so. I do not think VCs deserve the worst of reputation, but I think VCs role in building businesses is vastly overestimated. They’re a necessary evil, no pun intended, but more often than not, companies are successful despite VCs, and not because of VCs.

You have to ask yourself one thing, when a VC pulls the plug on a company, is it acting responsibly or not? When an entrepreneur raises money from a VC, they tend to sell their souls in the sense that:

- VCs invest in preferred shares of the company (versus common shares the entrepreneur/founder, management team, employees own)

- Adding insult to injury, despite the fact that entrepreneurs have probably bootstrapped the company for months if not years, the VC who invests takes the founder’s shares away and uses these as a carrot: stay on for another few years, get some of it back; stay for a few years more, get all of it.

- Meanwhile, throughout this journey, the VC can technically at any point fire the CEO founder and replace him or her with their own crony. This happens via control of the Board of Directors, which ultimately chooses the CEO (if not the entire management).

- Rubbing salt to the wounds, the VCs also get their legal fees paid by the company, which is just criminal in my opinion, because it forces the founders of the company to avoid actually debating many points of the term sheet, because a prolonged negotiation only adds to the legal bill, which is footed by, you guessed it, the entrepreneur.

- Worst of all, rarely can the founder take any money off the table, which is what I consider the biggest mistake entrepreneurs and VCs make, because it does not align the risk profile and time horizon of the two parties, basically.  This is one thing that former Paypal President, Facebook angel Peter Thiel’s Founders Fund “gets” and I suspect will help it stand out from the clutter in 2008 and beyond.

So given all of this, I understand it’s one thing when a VC like Highland throws in the towel and refuses to continue to finance a money losing Titanic like Amp’d Mobile, but what about circumstances like:

- Edgeio’s - where $5M was supposed to make a dent in Craigslist’s business - but didn’t, and the company subsequently shut down, and auctioned off the pieces for $280,000.

Or what to make of the bizarre case of

- 3 Guppies, where - despite a supposedly hot mobile space and growth potential - Vantage Point Venture Partners pushed the company in the deadpool.

The horror stories just get worst. The trophy, really, hands down, goes to:

- ComVentures, who allegedly basically stole from a dying company founder in the Zantaz debacle. The ComVentures fund recently merged with Velocity Interactive Group, the fund set up by Jon Miller and Ross Levinsohn.

Not all cases are similar, mind you. I’m not sure Edgeio really stood a chance, but then why invest $5M in the first place? I’m not that familiar with 3 Guppies, frankly, to make a case for or against. Amp’d Mobile was just folly in action, so ultimately, it did not make sense to go past $375M in funding… but why invest up to $375M in the first place?

These three cases might be outlier examples of companies that should not go on, but if you check out a site like TheFunded.com you will come across many cases where VCs simply acted in violation of their end of the bargain.

After all, when an entrepreneur sells a stake of his dream to a VC, he should be bound to fight until victory is attained, should VCs not be held to the same standard? More importantly, maybe if entrepreneurs did not accept VCs draconian rules of engagement in the first place, then maybe they won’t find themselves in a position where they have little leverage to prevent such things from happening.

I like to think that I am building a world-class, grand slam type of company, invariably, that might require outside financing from someone like a VC.

But if you think of some of the most successful companies around, the common thread is the relative lack of power and control that VCs have… maybe now we’re onto something. Ultimately entrepreneurs need to heed advice from someone like Herb Kelleher - founder of SouthWest Airlines - who put clients above investors, arguing that if and when clients are satisfied, then investors will too. But how about something more radical? Why not put founders, management, employees ahead of investors too. Won’t investors get a better long term return if the needs of short-term minded investors did not supercede those of the people actually building the company?

That might be something worth asking.

category: business
24 Dec 2007

Initially, my post was to be called “Ad Networks + Content = High Margin Business” but that is not as direct and brutally honest as “Why are ad networks such low expectation mofo’s?”  Hey, it’s a fair question, no?  Let’s consider the facts.

Compared to the Top Media Properties:

Ad Networks have bigger reach.  One reason is that they slice across the web and aggregate audiences.

Yet if eyeballs equals revenues which in turn equal value, then why is it that the value of ad networks is by and large tiny compared to Web giants?

Google = $215B
Yahoo! = $30B

then… ad networks:

Blue Lithium = $300M
Right Media = $800M
24/7 Real Media = $680M

aQuantive fetched $6B and Doubleclick $3.1B, but aQuantive is a lot more than an ad network and Doubleclick is anything but an ad network.

Why is that?  The reason is simple: Low quality content, long tail inventory, low expectations, basically.

Marshall Kirkpatrick makes a pretty interesting prediction, which I think would be a very strong combination. On Read Write Web’s end of year 2008 predictions, he says:

2. Most ad networks will start producing their own content to advertise against; and some content companies today will get acquired by ad networks.

Brother, I’ve contacted every single ad network imaginable and proposed to combine our rich library of high-quality video clips and partner with their serving platforms to reach targeted audiences everywhere (no, I did not call them low expectation mofo’s in the emails, in case you are wondering).

I can’t understand why they content themselves to target low-end impressions on long tail inventory for bottom-barrel CPM businesses when they can reinvent themselves and leverage high-yield video content (or even text content) and generate far higher margin revenues?

Ad networks are fundamentally in the check writing business, 2007 was a great year for many (aQuantive, 24/7 Real Media, Double Click, Right Media and Blue Lithium) but many others remain. For those, to stand out from the clutter, partnerig with rich content seems like a good strategy to take. Will it happen?

Don’t count on it, why?

The Web was built by programmers and techies, financed by products of semiconductors, PCs and what not, these people do not really get media, content and dare I say it, advertising.  Ad networks is an extension of that, but usually you can actually eliminate the financiers… the media guys entered the picture too late, and by then, it’s a lot of “more of the same”: connect eyeballs with dollars, sign a check to the publisher.  Ad networks need to think big and realize the only thing differentiating them with the ad portals is the quality of the content they are intermediating.  Stop being so lazy, stop thinking small… content is king.

Who gets media, content and advertising?  Big, old, traditional Media.  Why don’t they own the Web?

That’s another post for another day.

category: business
24 Dec 2007
related tags: Internet & Web | Search Wars | Wikipedia | Wikia |

Last year, just as I was making preparations to attack the biggest bird I had ever come across (ie. before Christmas), Wikipedia founder Jimbo Wales said that he would create a Google killer.

One year has passed, with plenty of hyperbole and ridicule, mixed in with impatience and Wikia-confusion, but it looks like the time is nigh (given the emphasis on the word “private” I wasn’t gonna post this, but indeed this email is public, ’tis the actual beta that is meant to remain private, fa-la-la-la-la, la-la-la-la):

———- Forwarded message ———-
From: Jimmy Wales <jwales@wikia.com>
Date: Dec 23, 2007 10:04 PM
Subject: [Search-l] private pre-alpha invites available
To: “search-l@wikia.com” <search-l@wikia.com>

Ping me if you want one…. we’re launched. :-)

I’m going to be letting people in slowly over the next few days and we
are aiming for a January 7th public launch.  We want to run over the
system with help from people to complain about what is broken…

Best way to ask is by email, but please don’t be offended if I don’t
answer right away.  I am expecting a bit of a flood here.

–Jimbo
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See our previous coverage here: Can a For-Profit Search Engine Be Too Open and Transparent to Succeed?

Here’s a Prediction for 2008: a Google shuffle is around the corner and the one most affected will be Wikipedia.org’s results.

More coverage around the Web on the usual suspects:

Tech Crunch | Search Engine Journal