Too bad no one listens to me, what I wrote about Facebook-oriented funds when they launched, I believe the title was “Why not flush money down the toilet, pal?“. Was I being too nice?
Today:
Some in Silicon Valley have speculated that MySpace isn’t willing to pay more for iLike because it fears Facebook will boot iLike once its main rival takes control of the service. But that doesn’t go far enough in describing the situation, said one of the sources. What has pushed iLike’s valuation down is a problem with control. The company’s managers have no way to prove to potential acquirers that their business model has a bright future because they can’t predict from one day to the next which direction Facebook’s Platform will go. The source said that leaders at iLike, or any other company on the platform, are not truly in control of their fate–Facebook’s Mark Zuckerberg is.
“The cash flow of any company doing business on Facebook’s API, or Facebook Connect, or Facebook platform is inherently at risk,” said the source. “The multiple that an investor can place on that cash flow is not that much greater than 1, because you never know at which point Facebook could change the terms of the relationship or change the technology and cut off that cash flow.”
But seriously, don’t listen to me…
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