Funny to see web entrepreneurs Loic LeMeur and Om Malik duke it out in the comments section of this entry, on Veoh’s layoffs, which was reported first by Valleywag, and confirmed to varying extent by PaidContent.
Says Seesmic founder Loic:
The first sentence “A Veoh spokesperson has denied a news report published today” with “news report” referring to Valleywag is both hilarious and sad for NewTeeVee.
Is it? Newteevee publisher (and VC!) Om Malik disagrees:
It is a report and it was making the rounds on the blogs and yes it was an incorrect news report. It doesn’t matter where it came from. chris did his job and did it well. I disagree with your read on the situation.
I see Loic’s point, don’t get me wrong. But I disagree with his assessment due to its source (yes, I think who says something has major bearing on the message). That point of view would be a fair criticism from a traditional media chieftain trying to hold on to any vestige of relevance in a new media reality… but for an uber web entrepreneur like Loic to say that?
After all, didn’t The National Enquirer break the John Edwards affair?
I’d argue that Valleywag is eons more news than National Enquirer is, but the point is: just because one does not appreciate or approve of Valleywag’s editorial style does not mean its content is not news.
Granted, it’s not news a la CNN… but it’s not The Onion, either.
For a new media entrepreneur to argue that Valleywag is not news is a bit hypocritical if you ask me… after all, didn’t Reuters build a business on republishing earnings reports?
I digress.
The main reason why I wanted to chime in on this isn’t even the bitching on the comments section, it’s that Newteevee mentions: “Veoh dumped its original video programming“.
Original programming? What original programming? I am rooting for Veoh, but as I tell my friends there, stop changing strategy and business models every other day people! The problems of having too much money. At last count, Veoh has raised nearly $70M.
I am calling BS on Nick Denton. Let me explain.
Yes, no one is immune to the economy, not even online media. However, I think Nick Denton is using the recession and accompanying slowdown in advertising spending to cut some fat.
“Here’s the heart of it,” opens up the rising media mogul, “we are cutting 19 of our 133 editorial positions and suspending bonus payments at the start of next year.”
Methinks: 133 editorial positions? Editorial folks. Add some bodies in administration, sales/business development, technology and you get a big company. Don’t get me wrong: with 20M uniques, Gawker Media deserves to have a big headcount, but Denton probably realized that he let his company’s success bloat his masthead, which is, you got it: the mistake magazines made decades ago… a mistake they never rectified, and a mistake that today explains their dire predicament.
Ultimately, Denton has “panicked” before. The Brit native admits:
And, yes, this is not the first time I’ve predicted doom: in July 2006, when we “battened down the hatches” and closed down Sploid and Screenhead; and in April this year, when we spun off Idolator, Gridskipper and Wonkette.
But now the credit crisis is clearly going to affect every sector of the economy. Advertising buys typically plunge after the Christmas shopping season, and 2009 is obviously going to be exceptionally difficult. We have to prepare for the worst, now, rather than when the worst comes upon us.
Yes, the worst is upon us, however, things will get far, far worst for print, radio and TV before it really gets dicey for fiscally prudent and cautious managers online. We’ve never splurged in headcount at WatchMojo.com, so guess what, we’re adding headcount, investing in new technology and attacking clients more aggressively to win business. Mind you, we’re in online video, which is growing rapidly; whereas Gawker is in the old media of new media, text.
Regardless, my guess is that Denton will use the headwinds in the broader marketplace to let go of people that did not fare in his plans and use the opportunity to avoid making a mistake magazines did ages ago when they began to believe their own PR.
Sure: the economy is the clusterf*** to the poorhouse, but anyone with a killer instinct recognizes that now is the time to clean up shop and put the pedal to the metal.
I could be wrong, but I don’t buy any of Denton’s antics today.
I’d say success is equal or a function of vision, ambition, execution, luck and timing… Nick Denton’s says timing’s got a lot to do with it. Read more here via Valleywag:
A British-born Financial Times beat reporter sent to cover Silicon Valley during the dotcom boom, Denton reinvented himself as a technology entrepreneur. He sold a dotcom events business, First Tuesday, in a luckily timed deal as the bubble was bursting. He briefly entangled himself in an online newsfeeds venture called iSyndicate before starting a direct competitor, Moreover (that’s “more OH ver,” you Yanks.) But he quit as CEO years before VeriSign bought the company. He’s the first to admit that his success is more from good timing than hard work.
Interesting.
For a few years, the newspaper industry put Craig Newmark in a category of people that included Pol Pot, Adolf Hitler, Benito Mussolini and Josef Stalin for having the audacity to encroach on their classifieds monopoly.
This year, having elevated Gawker Media as a likely candidate for company of 2008 as early as January, expect to see Nick Denton join Newmark in that category of people who are harming the venerable business of printing newspapers and magazines.
I think what Craig and Nick have done is genius - and I am not alone - mainly because they realized that print was carrying excess baggage and not delivering the goods in the areas that their clients were looking for.
I think more entrepreneurs should take a cue from Denton… he is his own boss and is laughing all the way to the bank without giving a you-know-what about what the publishing or investing establishment thinks.
Are blogs “sellable” to big media companies?
Felix Salmon of Portfolio.com says yes, countering the viewpoint of BreakingViews (by the way, I agree 100% about his observations about BV. How backwards is the no-copy and paste function?).
Gawker - one of the blog networks that Salmon alludes to - begs to differ. Incidentally, we ranked Gawker high on our list of Elite Eight Tech-Oriented Blog Networks, though Gawker is about much more than tech. We think it just might be the company of 2008.
Which takes me to my point: I’m not sure, frankly, that tech blogs are a good example to judge all blogs by. The reason is that blogging software reduces the cost of publishing considerably; where this will have most value to media companies is in mass market categories such as music, travel, health and finance and not technology, especially when you consider the echo chamber nature of tech blogs.
Regardless, check out the Elite Eight Tech-Oriented Blog Networks that could be acquired.
Yesterday, BubbleGeneration’s Umair Haque set off a storm by suggesting that tech blog networks are peaking. I agree that the signal-to-noise ratio in the technology blog network space has gone down considerably. While many of these blogs are hiring from traditional media, established publications are firing back with their own blogs and blog networks. CNET for one has been very aggressive, even appointing blogger Dan Farber to become editor in chief at News.com (of course, Farber is so much more than a mere blogger).
In fact, in the past year, many of these technology blogs have gone from being a one-site, one-man operation to a multi-site property hiring large operational and editorial teams. In a few instances, companies have even raised considerable funding. The quest to build an audience and generate ad revenues has pitted many of these sites in a competitive and cooperative dynamic that might indeed suggest that most of these sites have peaked.
Due to the entrepreneurial nature of the people involved, I doubt that these sites will disappear. Given the shift of ad dollars and audiences online, I am sure they won’t.
However, clearly many of them will have to reinvent themselves and adopt new strategies to remain relevant. Let’s face it, particularly since Gabe Rivera unleashed Techmeme.com, a lot of the content being published on many of these sites has become a carbon copy of one another.
This is commonplace: at the beginning of the 20th century, America had hundreds of car companies; by the end of the century, there were three major ones. The point is, expect considerable competition to give way to consolidation, transformation and inevitably, extinction.
Before we get death threats, bear in mind that there are are hundreds of blogs networks and millions of blogs. No human being or team can go through all worthy networks. By all means suggest blogs and networks that you read, recommend and respect in the comments.
In this first post, we look at technology-oriented blog networks OR funded blog sites on the cusp of launching networks. We run them down and assess their strengths, weaknesses and long term prospects.
8 - Silicon Alley Insider
It’s hard to compile such a list and not give Silicon Alley Insider its fair share of credit. Self-proclaimed “disgraced stock analyst” Henry Blodget came out of his hibernation on Internet Outsider. Proving that everyone was into open sourcing everything these days, Blodget took his signature research and sensationalist style and unleashed a free blog with a lot of potential.
But it wasn’t until he teamed up with former Doubleclick CEO Kevin Ryan and former DoubleClick CTO Dwight Merriman to launch Silicon Alley Insider that Blodget was back with a vengeance.
In less than a year, Blodget has leveraged the name and skills that made him the world’s highest profile - and arguably highest paid - analyst into a site that has injected a much-needed dose of strategy, analysis and East Coast perspective to the landscape.
- Tale of the tape:
According to Federated Media, John Battelle’s company that represents advertising inventory on many of these sites, SAI does 1,160,000 pageviews.
- From being a one-man shop to an actual company:
Blodget remains the star of the show, for sure, but he deserves credit for lining up some interesting writers, including Forbes technology writers Peter Kafka and Dan Frommer, as well as .
We have personally been very bullish on SAI from the beginning for no other reason that its mission of “serving as the voice and resource for the wider digital business community, SAI covers the intersection of the technology, media and communications industries” is awfully akin to our own desire to go beyond covering the latest widget launch and instead offer readers analysis that sits on the crossroads of Main Street, Madison Avenue, Wall Street and Silicon Valley (pardon our shameless plug and delusional sense of grandeur, by the way, but the similarity is considerable, no?).
Judging by the second part of its mandate: “with a particular focus on companies and people making waves in New York,” SAI has joined Allen Stern’s Center Networks with excellent NY-focused coverage. In fact, the two sites are very complementary in that Center Networks has more of a technology skew while SAI covers finance and advertising a bit more. Combine the two and there’s a reason the city was named twice.
- From property to network:
While SAI remains a one-site media company, make no mistake about it, SAI is ambitious and planning much more, as evidenced by its hiring page. We are thus including SAI on this list, because very much like Venture Beat that has raised funding, despite being a one-site pony, this dark horse has a lot of upside and the wherewithal to give existing blog networks a run for its money.
- Focus: mass vs. niche:
Time will tell just how much SAI will evolve. But being based in NYC, the opportunities are endless. We presume the company’s focus will remain on business, but the applications therein remain interesting.
- Long term business opportunities:
Blodget has already lined up online video via regular appearances on Yahoo!’s Tech Ticker. This might explain Blodget’s cheerleader role for the troubled media company, but the fact remains, of all of these companies, this affiliation does give Blodget and by extension SAI an edge in online video even though SAI does not own any of the IP of the Tech Ticket video library. Whether or not Yahoo!’s Tech Ticker will go anywhere, time will tell… but Blodget’s double-edged star status and brand name will open up doors for the company.
- Revenue potential:
While SAI’s revenue potential remains interesting by virtue of being based in NYC (capital of advertising world), we see SAI far more as a play for influence and authority than a pure money grab.
We must say, given that SAI is based in NYC, we’re somewhat baffled by their choice to go with Federated Media, though we presume that the arrangement is for West Coast representation, mainly.
- The traditional publisher it reminds me most of is…:
Forbes (SAI 100, SA 25 etc.).
- Exits:
Business Week, Forbes, CNET, TheStreet.com. I do see SAI as a consolidator of some of the other blogs out there, for sure.
7- Read Write Web
- From being a one-man shop to an actual company:
To his credit, McManus gets top grades for bringing in new writers who all are knowledgeable in the space, Marshall Kirkpatrick, Josh Katone and Alex Iskold are all extremely insightful in their own right, and network writers Steve O’Hear and company all know their categories. O’Hear produced the documentary In Search of the Valley which chronicles Silicon Valley’s origins and provides a fantastic overview into what makes the Valley so unique and legendary. Kirkpatrick built a loyal following on Tech Crunch before venturing into a PR role at Splash Cast before being lured by McManus.
- From property to network:
- Focus: mass vs. niche
- Long term business opportunities:
Clearly it is smarter to have publications covering video and search, but I wonder how popular those will ever become relative to RRW. Regardless, he has developed a good base of writers, a stellar reputation and been around long enough to be able to survive any ups and downs. I do not think that McManus should over extend himself and reach dozens of blogs, however, he needs to ensure that online video and search are as strong as the weakest links in competing tech blogs spin-offs (which compete with RRW, basically).
As an intangible, the company should be able to create conferences in South Asia and the Pacific and be able to generate enough interest from Europeans and North Americans looking for an opening in the market, sort of like a bridge between East and West.
In fact, McManus’ home base gives him a leg up on the other blogs (when news comes out late at night or overnight in North Ameirca, it’s the middle of the day down under).
- Revenue potential:
Due to the proximity to Asia, pretty decent. But as a tech blog network, it needs to articulate what advertisers get over the competition. That remains a challenge given its size.
- The traditional publisher it reminds me most is…:
6- Venture Beat
- About the Founder:
Venture Beat is not a blog network (at least to the best of our knowledge) but having raised $320,000 in angel funding from a powerhouse roster of investors that includes ex-Googlers Georges Harik and Aydin Senkut, Mike Brown (Foundation Capital), MHS Capital, Amidzad and the White Sand Group, it certainly should be included in the landscape of professional blog networks, regardless of whether it goes from being one site to a network of sites.
VB was founded by Matt Marshall, who covered venture capital for the San Jose Mercury News until he left in September 2006 to launch VentureBeat as an independent company. The site was initially called SiliconBeat but has expanded to cover more financing news, hence the change in moniker.
A PhD in Government and an MA in German and European Studies from Georgetown University, Matt was a correspondent for the Wall Street Journal in Bonn, Germany from 1995 through 1998. In 1999 he wrote a book while in Germany, “The Bank: the Birth of Europe’s Central Bank and the Rebirth of European Power” (published by Random House, 1999). He has also written for the Washington Post and several other publications.
- From being a one-man shop to an actual company:
Marshall bootstrapped the company early on and remained the site’s voice, but he did hire interesting writers such as Eric Eldon and recently lured Dean Takahashi of the Mercury News (along with his $120,000 annual salary) thanks in part to that $320,000 funding round.
- From property to network:
Unlike the other networks, VB has focused on financings and we think this razor sharp focus will help Marshall remain differentiated. Yes, in the short term he might not get the kind of advertisers that might land on other networks, but the truth is that most of those deals are coming from Federated Media (so they are being sliced up considerably as is) and he is better off becoming the “must-buy” site for professional services firms (law, accounting, VC firms) and select companies instead of fighting for the pieces in technology like the others do.
- Focus: mass vs. niche:
It should be noted that VB is also adding a lot of features (Venture Board and Job Board) that other sites like Tech Crunch launch as separate destinations. Frankly, given VB’s smaller traffic and niche nature relative to Tech Crunch’s massive audience and reach, the different strategies are actually each correct for each site.
- Tale of the tape:
According to Federated Media, Venture Beat generates 470,000 pageviews per month.
- Long term business opportunities:
Naturally, VB can plan a few conferences and charge a bundle.
A decision the company will have to make is to launch subscription-based services to generate more revenue and diversify or it can seize the opportunity to shrink many of the markets in which VB’s traditional competitors compete in, it can do so by taking advantage of its lower cost base to offer for free what competitors need to charge for.
In fact, it can even undercut its online competitors / complimentary services such as TheFunded.com or Dealipedia by leveraging its audience. Over time, I can actually see VB raising money and acquiring some of these services.
- Revenue potential:
The revenue will be recurring and stable because professional services will line up to advertise, but it won’t be exponential. Like everyone else, there will be considerable conference opportunities for VB, that is for sure. Eventually, I see VB favoring subscription services because its readership will consist of many businesses who don’t mind forking over recurring fees for accurate information on the market.
- The traditional publisher it reminds me most is…:
Crain or Thomson Financial, actually, units thereof.
- Exits:
It won’t be long before VB is acquired. After all, the instant outside money came in, an exit is required. That exit won’t be an IPO, but we see an acquisition by someone interested in the professional services market. We even see News Corp. potentially making a run to compliment WSJ as it looks for more financial real estate (especially since it now plans to wisely keep WSJ behind a paid wall).
Acquisition by Thomson, Crain, Pearson, TheStreet.com, CNBC or News Corp. for either WSJ or FOX Business.
5 - Mashable
In the summer of 2005, Pete Cashmore bet on black, and he struck gold.
A few months before launching Mashable as a blog covering social networking, News Corp. acquired MySpace’s parent for $580M. That deal created Fox Interactive Media, but more importantly, it ushered an era of unprecedented investment in so-called social networking concepts and companies. While Michael Arrington was covering it all from Silicon Valley, Pete Cashmore was returning the favor from London.
Over the next three years, both sites have grown to become synonymous with Web 2.0 and social networking respectively.
- From being a one-man shop to an actual company:
Admittedly, nowadays you have to look hard to find a new post penned by Pete Cashmore; indeed, much of the posts come from contributors Mark Hopkins, Kristen Nicole, Adam Ostrow, Tamar Weinberg and company, but this has allowed Cashmore to build a comprehensive company around Mashable.com.
- From property to networks:
Admittedly, Cashmore is a new media maven who has proven his chops by maniacally focusing on one site, Mashable, while many of his counterparts have taken a multi-site approach to brand and company building.
By leveraging the popularity of the site and goodwill he has generated, Cashmore complements Mashable.com with consulting services as well as bells and whistles services that turn the site covering social networking into a social network of its own.
- Focus: mass vs. niche:
Admittedly, Mashable is a big play on social networking. While a lot of companies, products and services focusing on social networking have come and gone, Mashable remains the shovel and helmet supplier equivalent of the space. While 99% of social networking sites will bomb, all 100% of services in the space (including the 1% that succeed) have to go through Mashable. For that reason, Cashmore’s razor sharp focus on social networking is actually genius.
- Tale of the tape:
Federated Media’s site gives Mashable 5,170,000 pageviews. Clearly Mashable is a large blog and bills itself as the largest one covering social networking.
- Long term business opportunities:
Cashmore already seems to have diversified away from a pure-publishing and advertising model to one that includes consulting and what not. I am frankly not sure how meaningful those businesses are, but the mere suggestion that they are additional product lines is important as it gives Mashable a greater sense of value.
Despite its sole focus on social networking, the fact is that social networking itself is not a fad, media has gone social so Mashable has a chance to galvanize the coverage thereof. In light of Tech Crunch’s increasing reach and scope, Mashable has the opportunity to become the leading brand in the specific space, in fact.
- Revenue potential:
Given Mashable’s audience and size, it can generate decent revenues from advertising alone but clearly, if Cashmore can build up a real consulting business around the brand, the advertising business can look pretty small next to the services business… especially if he finds as many consultants to match his roster of writers.
- The traditional publisher it reminds me most is…:
Any publication that is issued by a professional services organization.
- Exits:
Depending on how meaningful Cashmore can make the consulting business, Mashable has various growth opportunities, and as such, numerous exit routes, too.
4- GigaOm
- About the Founder:
I’ve personally met Giga Om founder Om Malik a few times and certainly consider him a friend and mentor. The man knows publishing, technology, new media… and common sense. With that being said, Malik came to NYC in 1993 to write for venerable Forbes. He’s also written for Red Herring, Business 2.0 along with occasional writings for the Wall Street Journal and Crain’s NY Business. Incidentally, not many people know this: but he was, briefly, a venture capitalist.
I think this gives Malik an interesting appeal as a writer, because he surely does not regurgitate press releases and spew the company pitch. Malik will tell you what’s on his mind. He’ll tell you if something seems off or fishy.
- From being a one-man shop to an actual company:Malik has managed to use his network of writers - and True Ventures’ funding - to lure many talented writers. Liz Gannes and Chris Albrecht are very good writers, but I am biased because I read some of Malik’s blogs more than others. He has an impressive roster of full-time and part-time writers that certainly give Malik a lot of points in this category.
In fact, in December 2007, Malik suffered a heart attack, he has recovered but the fact that his company did not miss a beat speaks volumes about the team he has put in place. In addition to the staff of writers, it should be noted, GigaOmMedia’s operational bench is also second to none.
- From property to network:
Malik’s blogging empire includes
- GigaOm: broadband and telco news,
- WebWorkerDaily: productivity at the office
- NewTeeVee: online video
- Earth2Tech: admittedly a play on the burgeoning Green herd mentality (hey, he was a VC at one time)
- FoundRead: a sort of editorially curated bookmarking site, I presume.
- Focus: mass vs. niche
Clearly the sites in Giga Om Media’s network have a penchant for broadband, which is what Malik’s background lies in. I do not see Malik ever branching out to lifestyle, for example, and I’m not sure anyone wants them to, either.
- Tale of the tape:
According to Federated Media, GigaOm (the site) generates 1,250,000 pageviews/month, round it up to 1.5M-2M for the entire network.
- Long term business opportunities:
Clearly an actual publishing business already, I see Malik emulating Rafat Ali and adding country-specific sites as well to go deeper into the sectors they cover.
- Revenue potential:
Limited to technology and consumer electronics, but by virtue of these being big enough categories and his readership being extremely valuable, GigaOmMedia will do fine. The CPM he can charge are probably considerable. As a wise man once said, The Economist does not need to publish a 200-page magazine to generate boatloads of money. Neither does GigaOm.
- The traditional publisher it reminds me most of is…:
Fast Company, Industry Standard, Ziff Davis
- Exit:
Despite all of the talk that one day CNET might buy Tech Crunch, I see some considerable personality conflicts before the lawyers are even called in. However, I certainly see CNET making a run at Giga Om. I could be wrong because CNET has a lot of writers and GigaOm has a lot of writers…
3- Tech Crunch
- About the Founder:
Michael Arrington launched Tech Crunch in 2005 to cover Web 2.0 startups. A former corporate attorney, Arrington has an interesting career that spans law firms and jobs in business development/counsel roles in the domain name industry in the US and Canada.
According to Google, over 14,000 other sites link to TechCrunch, and Technorati says TechCrunch is the 16th most influential blog in the world. Named ‘Best of the Web 2006′ by BusinessWeek.
- From being a one-man shop to an actual company:
Tech Crunch is synonymous with Michael Arrington, no doubt. Of all of the networks, Tech Crunch faces the biggest risk of not being able to go from a one-man show to a cohesive unit because TC’s coverage was never objective nor abstract, it was always subjective and personal, coming straight from the gut.
As such, striking the same balance with new writers will always remain a challenge.
To his credit, Arrington has surrounded himself with a cornucopia of talented writers over the years, including Marshall Kirkpatrick in the early going. Today he employs blogging pioneer Duncan Riley and has even managed to lure Erick Schonfeld to the cause; Schonfeld is a gifted and experienced writer who has become his Co-Editor. Yes, I know, that title will have to change over time if Schonfeld is to remain part of the team in the long-run. I think Arrington realizes that, but also recognized that he could not set Schonfeld up for failure by bringing him on and appointing him Editor from the get-go.
- From property to network:
Tech Crunch remains the 800-pound gorilla in the industry, let alone within Arrington’s empire… but he has nonetheless churned out TC UK (who itself has had an interesting history, especially in the backdrop of the TechNation debacle), along with CrunchGear and MobileCrunch. Personally, I’ve visited the other sites all of 5 times, but that’s my shortcoming and not a result of the writers. In fact, it makes total sense for Arrington to have carved out those two sites.
I must say that his CrunchBase database listing companies’ has potential to be something interesting, though given the state of flux of most of the “companies” TC reviews, I find that it might turn out to be a perennial distraction too. Certainly give his team props for trying to do something out of the box. All in all, I like it and hope it survives and develops; it sure beats its inital incarnation (TC readers will know what I am referring to).
- Focus: mass vs. niche
Tech Crunch is actually somewhat focused but it has no doubt gone from covering startups to covering startups and established companies, no doubt. Tech Crunch’s massive success dwarfs the other sites: there’s a UK version, along with spinoffs in mobile and consumer electronics, there’s also Crunch Notes which gives a glimpse into the sojourn of launching a publication online and the challenges of startup life… In all fairness, Crunch Notes occasionally provide good fodder but is usually a big echo chamber with details I am unaware of, but that, once again, is not a knock, just an observation.
While many have pointed out that TC does not represent consumer trends and is in fact very niche, the simple fact is that it’s grown to be the largest “niche” site, with over 500,000 RSS subscribers.
- Tale of the tape:
Tech Crunch is the king of pageviews amongst this peer group, with 5,510,000 pageviews per month, according once again to Battelle’s Federated Media.
- Long term business opportunities:
Some days, I think TC founder Michael Arrington will burn out, others I think he is on his way to becoming a cross between Bob Guccione Jr. meets Roger Penske. Puh-lease let me explain.
He reminds me of Guccione Jr. simply due to the Axl Rose affair where he was willing to step into the ring and actually fight Rose after the Guns ‘n’ Roses front man called him out in Use Your Illusion’s Get in the Ring. Bear in mind, while Rose had the tough guy persona, Guccione Jr. had been taking karate for a decade. That’s right, Rose backed down. In some ways, Arrington does not back down from anyone, regardless of the merit of the debate and independent of whether he’s right or not.
Why Penske? Penske was a great driver who risked his life every week at races. Eventually, someone made him realized that his time - and life - was better spent making deals and what not. So Penske gave up the driver’s seat for the business duties. I am not sure if Arrington is Penske or the anti-Penske because as a lawyer and entrepreneur, Arrington’s track record is not as impressive as his track record as a writer and publisher is, so maybe, he should hang the legal briefs and business plan and simply write his heart out. Legend has it that he would blog away at his desk until he literally passed out.
That’s something I went through when I wrote my second book (on Alexander the Great) in 6 days in 2004, the difference was, I did that for 6 days and realized I did not want to do it 24/7/365… Arrington seems to have done it for two years so he deserves a lot of credit for his stamina, persistence and determination.
All to say, Arrington’s legacy remains to be seen: time will tell if he is Priceline or Pets.com, but like both Penske and Guccione Jr. the man is a fighter and takes no crap. Agree or disagree with him, I like that about him and despite the warts estimate that he will be around in one form or another for years and decades to come.
- Revenue potential:
One word: considerable.
Tech Crunch not only has a solid readership in terms of quality of its audience, but it has racked up considerable media mentions, something that sways media buyers looking to spend ad dollars. Lastly, Tech Crunch’s relative high audience ensures that it can actually earn ad dollars, too. Admittedly, 5M pageviews is tiny by maistream publishing standards, but for a blog that was largely a one-man operation for its first year of operations, it’s pretty impressive.
Tech Crunch has already branched off into events and conferences.
- The traditional publisher it reminds me most is…:
Industry Standard meets Red Herring with a dash of Penthouse (if we are to continue the Guccione example, after all).
- Exit Strategy:
Well, Henry Blodget has already pointed out the inevitable CNET possibility. I’d also throw in News Corp. for no reason other than Tech Crunch’s CEO Heather Harde was a dealmaking maven at Fox Interactive Media…
2- Content Next (Paid Content)
- About the Founder:
Rafat Ali launched Paid Content over five years ago so that he could showcase his writing skills in the hope of getting a job. At a time when companies were laying off writers and new media was the butt of the joke, Ali hustled and beat everyone to the story. Today, he sits arguably at the top of the echelon in the industry’s leading publication covering media.
- From being a one-man shop to an actual company:
Gradually, and we mean gradually, Ali has hired a wide array of writers. Today he is backed by Staci Kramer as Co-Editor (Ali remains Publisher and Co-Editor). CNM employs numerous writers that include David Kaplan, Joseph Weisenthal and company.
- From property to network:
After launching a site devoted to wireless news, MocoNews.net, Ali proceeded to scale his network by going against the grain: instead of slicing up the topics by segment, Ali seems to be focusing more on geography now, with sites in the UK and India, dubbed ContentSutra.com. Both sites have strong writers under the leadership of Robert Andrews and Nikhil Pahwa respectively.
- Focus: mass vs. niche:
Context Next Media’s focus remains media, and with the line between old and new media becoming blurrier and blurrier, we think that the B2B and B2C topics up for grabs for Ali across the numerous geographies should represent considerable upside over time. When the dust settles, Ali will have built a mainstream brand.
- Tale of the tape:
One of the few sites not repped by Federated Media, I suspect CNM does about 4M pageviews per month, though the company’s mailing list is the real gem and crown jewel. The number of media executives, bankers, investors and entrepreneurs who start their day with Paid Content remains very high, even since Gabe Rivera launched his genius TechMeme product.
- Long term business opportunities:
Considerable.
Ali has built the top brand in the space, the WSJ or Fortune of online media. The hustle, determination and can-do attitude at a time (when he launched) when few took him seriously (by virtue of the industry’s mood) are sources of motivation for any entrepreneur, writer and aspiring publisher. What Ali has been able to do, out of LA (so much of what he covers is NY-centric, which is three hours ahead of LA!) is simply amazing. Today, of course, Content Next Media is fairly global.
The company has also brought in an impressive operational team and is backed by the dean of venture capital, Alan Patricof, whose Greycroft Partners invested in CNM in 2006.
- Revenue potential:
You don’t need to be an advertising guru to realize that Paid Content is printing money. The site boasts about sponsorship packages which shun CPM-pricing models, signaling that business is booming at CNM. The company’s conferences and mixers are adding velocity to the company’s top line, and with a lean structure (the company only last year got an actual office), we’re sure that the bottom line is healthy, too. Lastly, the site has in the past tinkered with reports and studies, but seeing Ali give some of these away suggests that the company is - like most publishers - looking for more ad-supported inventory and not seeing the kinds of return in subscriptions as it is in advertising.
- The traditional publisher it reminds me most is…:
Variety and Fortune meets Playboy. Let me explain.
Variety is quite simple: what Variety is/was to entertainment news, Paid Content is to media news, which is always related to entertainment.
Why Playboy? Well, Hugh Hefner worked at Esquire, asked for a $5 raise and didn’t get it. When Esquire moved from Chicago to NYC Hef stayed behind and launched Playboy. Today, the rest is history. In the same vein, Rafat could not land a job five years ago yet today he is the first to report on job changes, industry news and mergers and acquisitions that change the landscape.
Why Fortune? Well, Fortune is the Cadillac of publications in the space, and online, Paid Content remains the gold standard.
We’re not saying that Paid Content will never be dethroned, in fact, it’s close on any given day. But much the same way that people like Henry Luce revolutionized the print industry, Rafat Ali deserves just as much credit for changing the online space… so there’s a hint of Fortune, too. I’d also toss in Dow Jones, for a few reasons: seeing Ali hold court at the Waldorf=Astoria, interviewing Gordon Crovitz (the publisher of The Wall Street Journal) at the recent Future of Business Media conference, I could not help but think of the common lineage between Dow Jones - once a humble newsletter - and Paid Content, whose newsletter wakes up hundreds of thousands of readers every day from Mumbai to Madison Avenue.
- Exits:
WSJ, Time Warner, CBS (Marketwatch founder Larry Cramer sits on his board, he was formerly President of CBS Digital before Quincy Smith came on board. Read our “meritless post” on this last rumor here).
1- Valleywag, part of Gawker Media
- About the Founder:
Frankly, it’s hard to talk solely about Valleywag and not put it in the context of the Gawker Media network, since that’s the point of the post. As such, it’s worth noting that as a blog network, Gawker Media is the GE, MSFT, Google, Facebook, etc., of its space.
Founder Nick Denton was always a step ahead: an Oxford educated former journalist for The Financial Times, Denton did the whole business networking thing before it became common place (First Tuesday), content syndication (Moreover) and then blogs before Movable Type conjured anything other than Johannes Gutenberg’s printing press.
Denton’s net worth has been estimated at over $250M, fueled by the sale of First Tuesday and Moreover, as well as his holdings in Gawker Media, which he funded with his own personal money.
- From being a one-man shop to an actual company:
While Gawker Media is synonymous with Nick Denton to those in the industry, to its readers, I doubt that it is, and this is key. Since its inception, Gawker Media has lured and developed more writers than most established publications.
- From property to network:
If we’re going to ask how well Gawker has gone from a property to a network, we need to start not with Valleywag, but with Gawker, the flagship property. As of January 2008, Gawker’s sister sites include 15 different weblogs, including Defamer, Fleshbot, Deadspin, Wonkette, Lifehacker, Gizmodo, Consumerist and Kotaku… oh, and Valleywag.
- Focus: mass vs. niche:
We might be repeating ourselves, but Denton has cornered the market. No other blog network can match the brand equity Denton’s blogs command, offer the audiences he can offer across as many verticals that Gawker can. Especially once Time Warner bought Weblogs Inc. for $25M, Denton’s Gawker Media became one, if not the most valuable and sought after privately held publishing company in the world, which just happened to be powered on blogging software.
- Tale of the tape:
Denton is notorious for publicly announcing the traffic on his sites. Gawker Media’s traffic is heads and shoulders above all other blog networks.
- Long term business opportunities:
Gawker can - if it has not already - enter merchandising, movies, and even, dare we say it, print (though we doubt it will).
It can also have a sizable and interesting mobile business. Of course, to do that, it needs a better grasp of video opportunities, which all of these companies generally fare poorly in.
- Revenue potential:
The estimates are all over the place, but in my opinion, the company currently does $20M in annual revenues (or just under $2M per month on average, I suspect its strongest month is November when it does about $3-4M in revenue). That figure is very feasible given its traffic, brand equity across all sites, demographics and the proximity to Madison Avenue…
It is conceivable for Gawker Media to become a $100M in annual revenue company within 10 years, if not sooner. With 20 blogs, that’s only $5M each per year, a rather attainable figure. Flesh out the more seedy sites like Fleshbot and adjust accordingly upwards for premium categories like Gizmodo and you will see that it’s not very hard to command a revenue figure that impressive.
- The traditional publisher it reminds me most is…:
Hearst or Conde Nast.
- Exits:
While founder Nick Denton says otherwise, this is a no-brainer: News Corp., Time Warner, Hearst or Conde Nast. Though Time Warner did buy competitor Weblogs Inc., and is looking at unloading all non-network AOL properties and content sites.
Ultimately, however, I see Denton refusing to sell and becoming the Hearst or Conde Nast himself. Mind you, the revenues might not come close, but in terms of mindshare and relevance - particularly online - he’s almost surpassed them.
CONCLUSION
We hope you enjoyed this list of tech-focused blog networks. All right, now like any self-respecting blogger, bash away.
Upcoming posts to come include:
- Top VC blogs (ex: AVC, Paul Kedrosky, etc.)
- Stand-alone blogs to watch out for in 2008 (ex: TechDirt, Alarm:Clock, Center Networks, Daily Tech, Laughing Squid, Gaping Void, Lost Remote, etc.)
- Big company blogs (ex: Boomtown, Tech Trader Daily, Business Week, CNET, Betc.)
- Entrepreneur blogs (ex: Jason Calacanis, John Battelle’s Searchblog, Max Levchin, etc).
Suggestions are welcome for all as we formulate those lists.
Editor’s notes:1 - Weblogs Inc., whom Time Warner acquired was excluded from the list by virtue of not being a privately held company, but surely deserves consideration on this list but will probably pop up in Big Company Blogs.
2 - Moreover, I suppose it is worth mentioning that HipMojo.com and the Blogger Mojo network are directly / indirectly competitive to some / many of the sites mentioned above.
We updated our Annual Internet company of the year list. The winner for 2007 was Facebook, who was both the editor’s and readers’ choice. Facebook joins the 13 other companies we had selected from 1994-2006, see the entire list.
Who will be the Web’s company of the year in 2008?
It depends on many variables. The macro environment will affect the outcome, for sure. As more and more companies lay employees off to account and adjust for the slowing economy, expect networking tools like LinkedIn to gain momentum.
Business social networking is gathering steam regardless of the economy, but as people get pink sleeps, the first place they will head will be to LinkedIn to connect with their network, then they will update their resumes. I must admit, I have come full circle on LinkedIn. In fact, I owe an apology to Reid Hoffman and his entire team: LinkedIn is in fact one of the most useful, indispensable tools for business. Mind you, that has a lot to do with the evolution of LinkedIn and the fact that they executed their business plan and became so widely used. But what was a somewhat crass tool has now become a must for entrepreneurs, investors, executives, members of the press and any stakeholder imaginable.
But LinkedIn will remain a niche tool for business types, and net-net, the slowing economy will probably hurt LinkedIn a tad more than it will help it.
Another very niche tool that many will jump at to suggest is Twitter. I do not think Twitter will gain mainstream adoption, and in fact, another company could very well overtake Twitter’s lead. It won’t be the first that a first mover gets surpassed by someone else. Lastly, let’s face it, Twitter is a fringe tool. Blogging is just entering the mainstream, and even there, most of the normal population is not vain enough to narrowcast their lives for the world to see. Sorry, just being candid (though not judgmental, since I am rather open myself).
Speaking of blogging and blogs, a wild card pick I have is none other than Gawker Media. Yes, Nick Denton’s empire did face a reduction in pageviews to close out 2007, but judging by the most recent figures, it’s back up… to record levels.
Either way, as Gawker evolves, they’ll focus on quality of readership rather than quantity. Two weeks into the new year, Gawker has tried to shake up the compensation system in publishing, its Gizmodo blog has been kicked out and banned from CES, and in the context of the macro landscape, in an election year where mainstream media will continue to fail to actually do any reporting, blogs will do well and as the leading blog network and publishing empire, I think Gawker Media will shake the foundations enough to gain mindshare. Case in point, the Tom Cruise video on Scientology that many other media have yanked remains - at least until now - live on Gawker here. I think Gawker Media’s properties and Nick Denton in particular will become an ongoing subject of conversation, interest and fascination… especially given the company’s status as a privately held company.
Of course, it seems unfair to mix technology and media, but that is the future: a meshing of the two as demonstrated by acquisitions of aQuantive by Microsoft and 24/7 RealMedia by WPP. As the world of media and technology mesh, one company seems to be in the lead, and that is Apple. In fact, were it not for Facebook’s awesome 2007, Apple deserves much consideration. I think it will be very challenging for Apple to do more in 2008 than it did in 2007, especially with the launch of the iPhone (which garnered 20% market share) and saw its stock double.
Other companies will be in the news, for sure:
- IAC breaks up into five distinct units.
- Yahoo! will probably face some kind of shareholder revolt, with its stock at a 52-week low.
- Google will have a hard time to maintain its stratospheric rise again. But YouTube remains a shining star.
- Second Life will get its mentions here and there as the virtual world hype train continues and curious mainstream journalists cover the story.
- News Corp. will only get stronger: with Dow Jones under its wings how could it not?
Last year I called Facebook the company of the year as early as April 2007 and it was an easy choice… 2008 is way too premature to call, but those are some of the companies I expect to be in the limelight come end of year.
Who do you think will be the Web’s company of 2008?
Nick Denton - journalist, author, publisher, entrepreneur, event promoter - has consistently rewritten the rules of publishing while adhering to the most important values in journalism. As blogging becomes more commonplace, influential and important, the line between blogging and publishing becomes quite blurry, but wherever that line sits, Denton is pushing it relentlessly.
Today Valleywag - a Gawker Media blog - published a memo from Gawker Media management about the new bonus system being introduced by Denton to drive traffic and ideally, boost quality of the sites’ content in an increasingly cluttered and noisy blogosphere and publishing landscape which is seeing bloggers become publishers and traditional publishers become blogging empires.
Frankly, I just got back from a trip and a two-hour drive in a blizzard to give the concept and premise itself much thought, yet, but by having Valleywag break the story on a company initiative, Denton is beating would-be critics to the punch (if there would be any) and ensuring that the link mojo and traffic filters to his empire. That is one example of Denton’s savvy and one-finger-salute to the establishment (whichever one) that would have a comment on the practice. You can imagine other bloggers take notice, and traditional publishers’ journalists shake in their boots at the mere concept of a performance-based compensation system.
Denton has consistently said that Gawker Media is unsellable, which only adds to the hype and aura of his empire. I fully think that Denton turns away calls from investment bankers and private equity firms day in, day out… long-term, I don’t doubt that Gawker could fetch quite a tidy sum in a sale, but in Gawker Media, Nick Denton might have built the Conde Nast or Hearst of the 21st century, with little or no outside capital.
More power to him for that.
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