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	<title>HipMojo.com</title>
	<link>http://watchmojo.com/web/blog</link>
	<description>Covering Online Video, Web, Search, Investing, Technology, Strategy, Investing, M&#038;A, Financing, VCs</description>
	<pubDate>Fri, 20 Nov 2009 15:29:08 +0000</pubDate>
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		<title>The End of Days is Nigh</title>
		<link>http://watchmojo.com/web/blog/index.php/2008/11/15/the-end-of-days-is-nigh/</link>
		<comments>http://watchmojo.com/web/blog/index.php/2008/11/15/the-end-of-days-is-nigh/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 15 Nov 2008 14:52:42 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Ashkan Karbasfrooshan</dc:creator>
		
		<category><![CDATA[Internet &#038; Web]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[Financing]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[Stat of the Day]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[Management]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[Investing]]></category>
<category>Financing</category><category>Internet &amp;#038; Web</category><category>Investing</category><category>Management</category><category>Stat of the Day</category>
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		<description><![CDATA[
Alley Insider, who in the best of times could not be mistaken for the bullish and cheerleading CNBC, offers a Week in Review that, while negative and bearish, does not even begin to reflect on the current malaise and impending apocalypse that is sinking in.
&#8220;Google slips below $300/share&#8221; reads the headline.  If only it ended [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><img src="http://watchmojo.com/blogs/images/endofdays.jpg" /></p>
<p>Alley Insider, who in the best of times could not be mistaken for the bullish and cheerleading CNBC, offers a <a href="http://www.alleyinsider.com/2008/11/week-in-review-google-dips-below-300-yikes" target="_blank">Week in Review</a> that, while negative and bearish, does not even begin to reflect on the current malaise and impending apocalypse that is sinking in.</p>
<p>&#8220;Google slips below $300/share&#8221; reads the headline.  If only it ended there.</p>
<p>- Sun Microsystems yesterday announced 5,000 to 6,000 job cuts, with many more to come from the <a href="http://www.nytimes.com/2008/11/15/technology/15tech.html?partner=rss&amp;emc=rss" target="_blank">tech industry</a>.  Yahoo! is <a href="http://kara.allthingsd.com/20081114/yahoo-layoffs-set-for-december-10-and-no-jerry-yang-is-not-leaving-too/" target="_blank">girding</a> itself for 1,000-1,500 cuts, even though people expect the firm to lay off 3,000 to right the ship.</p>
<p>- Citigroup announced 60,000 <a href="http://finance.yahoo.com/tech-ticker/article/128178/Citi-Firing-60%2C000%2C-Chairman-May-Still-Lose-Job" target="_blank">cuts</a> between now and 2009, reducing its headcount to a mere 340,000, starting with 10,000 cuts immediately.</p>
<p>- If that is not enough, <a href="http://www.american.com/archive/2008/november-december-magazine/sundown-for-california" target="_blank">the state of California is going down</a>.</p>
<p>- People are realizing that something is <a href="http://www.techcrunch.com/2008/11/13/online-video-wheres-the-money/" target="_blank">amiss in online video projections</a>.  Indeed.  This is the problem with too much supply in general, too much UGC in specific, not enough quality content to convince advertisers that online video is worth it.  Even the so-called <a href="http://newteevee.com/2008/11/13/newteevee-live-the-truth-about-online-video-advertising/" target="_blank">experts are scratching their heads</a>.</p>
<p>- Which only means one thing, if before the crash you raised $10M on a ludicrous pre-money valuation, expect your VCs to give you call (if they have not done so already) telling you that you are about to be fleeced, see your stake reduced, so that they can make even on the next round&#8230; if there is a next round.</p>
<p>- VCs, meanwhile, have their own problems: <a href="http://venturebeat.com/2008/11/12/the-vc-model-is-broken/" target="_blank">they now are a net negative</a> in the value creation category.</p>
<p><img src="http://watchmojo.com/blogs/images/vcnegative.png" /></p>
<p>Since exits won&#8217;t happen overnight, the only reasonable assumption is a shrinking of the VC sector, which will mean less money invested, less innovation (if you consider half of the crap VCs funded of late innovation, of course) and less growth&#8230;</p>
<p>- On a somewhat related note: we have more faux engineers in the US than real ones (via <a href="http://paul.kedrosky.com/archives/2008/11/13/engineers_finan.html" target="_blank">Paul Kedrosky</a>, via <a href="http://web.mit.edu/alo/www/" target="_blank">Andrew Lo</a>)&#8230; and then we wonder why our bridges are falling apart and our financial world is exploding.  Go figure.</p>
<p>Is this the beginning of the end, or the end of the beginning&#8230; maybe it is indeed the end of days?</p>
<p>I don&#8217;t know&#8230; as crazy as it sounds, I am far more bullish and optimistic than I was last year at this time.  <a href="http://watchmojo.com/web/blog/index.php/2008/11/15/how-to-win-in-a-downturn-never-follow-the-crowd/" target="_blank">Why is that</a>?</p>
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