OSCAR PREDICTIONS! – The CineFiles Ep. 9
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VOICE OVER: Matt Campbell
Written by Matt Campbell
The CineFiles Ep. 9
Struggling to figure out how to win your Oscar pool? We've got you covered. Welcome to the CineFiles! A weekly show where we zoom in on the most buzz-worthy news Hollywood and the indie scene has to offer. For this week's episode, we're covering a few of the major awards to give you that edge when making those Oscar picks.
Watch on Our YouTube Channel.
Have an idea you want to see made into a WatchMojo video? Check out our suggest page at http://WatchMojo.comsuggest and submit your idea.
The CineFiles Ep. 9
Struggling to figure out how to win your Oscar pool? We've got you covered. Welcome to the CineFiles! A weekly show where we zoom in on the most buzz-worthy news Hollywood and the indie scene has to offer. For this week's episode, we're covering a few of the major awards to give you that edge when making those Oscar picks.
Watch on Our YouTube Channel.
Have an idea you want to see made into a WatchMojo video? Check out our suggest page at http://WatchMojo.comsuggest and submit your idea.
The CineFiles Ep. 9
Struggling to figure out how to win your Oscar pool? We’ve got you covered. Welcome to the CineFiles! A weekly show where we zoom in on the most buzz-worthy news Hollywood and the indie scene has to offer. For this week’s episode, we’re covering a few of the major awards to give you that edge when making those Oscar picks
Before we begin, we publish new videos every day, so be sure to subscribe for more great content.
Manchester by the Sea premiered at Sundance to critical acclaim, with heavy praise for both Casey Affleck and Michelle Williams. While her screen time was short, it was also powerful, which made her the frontrunner for best supporting actress. However, wins at the Critics Choice, Golden Globe and SAG awards have put Viola Davis in the driver’s seat for her role in Denzel Washington’s Fences. Momentum is on her side. Davis will win. Actress in a leading role is a done deal. The category seemed to be a competitive one at first, but After Emma Stone’s magnificent turn in La La Land earned her a BAFTA, Globe and SAG award, just to name a few, the Oscar is all but hers. First time nominee and veteran of the screen, Isabelle Huppert is her main competition for her dark turn in Elle, but Stone’s feel-good performance won’t be topped.
Some cinephiles were shocked when Mahershala Ali lost supporting actor to Aaron Taylor-Johnson at the Golden Globes, but he was left off the Oscar ballot, with his Nocturnal Animals co-star Michael Shannon taking his place. Dev Patel’s BAFTA-winning performance in Lion has pushed him into the conversation as well, but Ali’s tough yet sensitive take on a nurturing drug-dealer will land him his first Academy Award. The closest race this year just may be for best actor. For quite some time, Casey Affleck was all but guaranteed the gold statue with wins at almost every major award ceremony. But in a surprising turn, Denzel Washington won the SAG award, and the last 12 actors to do so have gone on to win the Oscar. Affleck’s performance as a divorced man riddled with guilt, anger and sadness was brilliant, but Denzel’s role in Fences will earn him his third Oscar.
Before we get to our final pick, be sure to check out our other predictions:
Best Director:
Will win: Damien Chazelle – La La Land
Could win: Barry Jenkins – Moonlight
Best Adapted Screenplay:
Will win: Moonlight
Could win: Hidden Figures
Best Original Screenplay:
Will win: La La Land
Could win: Manchester by the Sea
Animated Feature Film:
Will win: Zootopia
Could win: Kubo and the Two Strings
Best Cinematography:
Will win: La La Land
Could win: Moonlight
Best Foreign Film:
Will win: The Salesman
Could win: A Man Called Ove
Not really, Casey. It’s a done deal this year. Ever since winning the People’s Choice award at TIFF, La La Land has steamrolled through awards season, and there’s no reason to believe that will change come Oscar Sunday. At an impressive 98% on Rotten Tomatoes, Moonlight is La La Land’s biggest threat. The film dives into themes rarely seen in cinema to create an emotional, but important social commentary. Hidden Figures has also gained momentum on the same tailwinds as Moonlight, and Manchester by the Sea has made numerous ‘best of 2016’ lists. In the end, the glitzy La La Land will win out because of its storytelling, production value and it’s ability to help audiences escape from the dark realities plaguing the world today.
Struggling to figure out how to win your Oscar pool? We’ve got you covered. Welcome to the CineFiles! A weekly show where we zoom in on the most buzz-worthy news Hollywood and the indie scene has to offer. For this week’s episode, we’re covering a few of the major awards to give you that edge when making those Oscar picks
Before we begin, we publish new videos every day, so be sure to subscribe for more great content.
#3: The Actress Categories
Manchester by the Sea premiered at Sundance to critical acclaim, with heavy praise for both Casey Affleck and Michelle Williams. While her screen time was short, it was also powerful, which made her the frontrunner for best supporting actress. However, wins at the Critics Choice, Golden Globe and SAG awards have put Viola Davis in the driver’s seat for her role in Denzel Washington’s Fences. Momentum is on her side. Davis will win. Actress in a leading role is a done deal. The category seemed to be a competitive one at first, but After Emma Stone’s magnificent turn in La La Land earned her a BAFTA, Globe and SAG award, just to name a few, the Oscar is all but hers. First time nominee and veteran of the screen, Isabelle Huppert is her main competition for her dark turn in Elle, but Stone’s feel-good performance won’t be topped.
#2: The Actor Categories
Some cinephiles were shocked when Mahershala Ali lost supporting actor to Aaron Taylor-Johnson at the Golden Globes, but he was left off the Oscar ballot, with his Nocturnal Animals co-star Michael Shannon taking his place. Dev Patel’s BAFTA-winning performance in Lion has pushed him into the conversation as well, but Ali’s tough yet sensitive take on a nurturing drug-dealer will land him his first Academy Award. The closest race this year just may be for best actor. For quite some time, Casey Affleck was all but guaranteed the gold statue with wins at almost every major award ceremony. But in a surprising turn, Denzel Washington won the SAG award, and the last 12 actors to do so have gone on to win the Oscar. Affleck’s performance as a divorced man riddled with guilt, anger and sadness was brilliant, but Denzel’s role in Fences will earn him his third Oscar.
Before we get to our final pick, be sure to check out our other predictions:
Best Director:
Will win: Damien Chazelle – La La Land
Could win: Barry Jenkins – Moonlight
Best Adapted Screenplay:
Will win: Moonlight
Could win: Hidden Figures
Best Original Screenplay:
Will win: La La Land
Could win: Manchester by the Sea
Animated Feature Film:
Will win: Zootopia
Could win: Kubo and the Two Strings
Best Cinematography:
Will win: La La Land
Could win: Moonlight
Best Foreign Film:
Will win: The Salesman
Could win: A Man Called Ove
#1: Best Picture
Not really, Casey. It’s a done deal this year. Ever since winning the People’s Choice award at TIFF, La La Land has steamrolled through awards season, and there’s no reason to believe that will change come Oscar Sunday. At an impressive 98% on Rotten Tomatoes, Moonlight is La La Land’s biggest threat. The film dives into themes rarely seen in cinema to create an emotional, but important social commentary. Hidden Figures has also gained momentum on the same tailwinds as Moonlight, and Manchester by the Sea has made numerous ‘best of 2016’ lists. In the end, the glitzy La La Land will win out because of its storytelling, production value and it’s ability to help audiences escape from the dark realities plaguing the world today.
